Politicians have the tendency to back down when they shouldn’t and take a stand when they should not. Take the run up to World War II. England France could have gone to war over the occupation of the Rhineland by Hitler in 1936 and beaten him almost easily. Or gone to war with him over Czechoslovakia in 1938 when the military situation was much less in the their favor but with the benefit of 36 superbly equipped and led Czech divisions fighting for their homes.
But no, they went to war with him over Poland in 1939. A place they could never reach to assist and whose fighting forces were most definitely neither well-equipped or led. The long and the short of it being that western Europe (I count 14 countries) was (were) overrun, with millions of its peoples killed, tortured or sent off to death camps. Hitler only being defeated by two decisions of his which for sheer blind stupidity rival the conclusion by Coke that they should change the formula of the most popular soft drink on the planet, the invasion of Russia and the declaration of war against the United States.
The former which would have happened regardless of whether or not England France declared war over Poland. Something the politicians if they had read Mein Kamp, indeed if they had read a newspaper, should have known. So the choice could have been a schoolbook lesson in realpolitik. Do fourteen countries go into the barrel or just one? Uh, let me think about this for a while – I choose fourteen. And choose to risk extinguishing western civilization at the same time.
It was so stupid a move that it defies rational analysis. What were they thinking? That they owed Poland one? The same Poland that just finished stabbing Czechoslovakia in the back by grabbing some of her territory as Hitler marched in the other end? The same Poland that did not have a democratically elected government. The same Poland which made a national sport out of slapping around the Jews? I mean I love the Polish people and revere on my aching praying knees the memory of John Paul II, but give me a break.
Besides there was nothing, nothing, nothing the western allies could have done to help Poland.
Who knows if Hitler would have cleaned up the Balkans the way he did or gone straight for Russia after Poland. But he would have gone for Russia in any event and so the two monster regimes would have bled each other out. Easy prey then both of them for the western democracies with their immeasurably more powerful industrial base (that is including the United States.) No iron curtain, no nuclear arms race, no bloody and bloody-minded “revolutions” in Africa and South America. No Communist China.
And so we come to today and the Ukraine. The “Professor of Constitutional Law” who disdains the Constitution might just “red line” his way into a confrontation with Russia over the Ukraine. Feeling that the criticism sent his way over the abandonment of Iraq, the cut and run in Afghanistan, Libya, Egypt and Syria might just oblige him offer the newly free Ukrainians some sort of guarantee he can’t ever make good on. Just like the Allies once did with Poland.
This administration keeps mouthing “NATO” like they can frighten Putin with the specter of a Europe united with the United States uniting to oppose him but NATO is a hollowed out core of what it once was. And anyway NATO is the NORTH ATLANTIC TREATY ORGANIZATION which grew out of the Atlantic Charter, thank you Sir Alexander Cadogan for writing that. NATO is not the BLACK SEA TREATY ORGANIZATION and unfortunately someone with the sweep of vision and just plain iron commitment not to lead their country further that it can go like Cadogan, is not around to sum it up for the peabrains in Washington. Or in the MSM.
Look at a map. It’s Poland all over again. Russia holds all the cards. Or look at the fooking map as our British cousins are wont to say. Russia holds all the fooking cards. And all the fooking natural gas.
About the only hope we have is to broker the return of the Crimea, whose border Khrushchev arbitrarily redrew, to Russia and support Russia’s long-term (but unspoken)goal of returning Santa Sophia to Christian worship with the price of that, being the freedom of the Ukraine’s people. That might work, otherwise this sad country has no future. Certainly no Momma, no Poppa, no Uncle Sam in its future – only the cold embrace of the Bear.
Despite our best wishes.